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U.S Consumer Confidence Climbs, Rising UK Home Prices sends FTSE 100 higher & Oil Prices fall as They Wait for OPEC+ Decision

U.S. consumer confidence highest in over 1-year

Consumer confidence in the United States raced to its highest level in over a year on Tuesday, as the Conference Board released its latest report.

The CB report showed that its consumer confidence index climbed to a reading of 127.3 in the month of June, up from 120.0 in May.

Today’s reading was the highest level since February 2020, and easily blew past analyst expectations of a 119.0 increase.

As a result of today’s data, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high earlier in the session, climbing to as high as 4300 points before ending the day up just 1.19 points or 0.03%.

Both the NASDAQ and Dow Jones were also marginally higher, up 0.19% and 0.03% respectively.

A rise in UK home prices sends FTSE 100 higher

The FTSE 100 rose for the first time this week, as it was announced that house prices in the United Kingdom rose by the most in 16 years.

Figures released showed that prices, on average rose by 13.4% from June last year, as a result of lower interest rates.

Mortgage lender Nationwide, who provided the data, expects demand to remain strong while current monetary policy incentives for the Bank of England stay in place.

The lender’s Chief Economist Robert Gardner stated that “While the strength is partly due to base effects, with June last year unusually weak due to the first lockdown, the market continues to show significant momentum“.

London’s FTSE 100 closed 0.21% higher on the news.

Oil prices fall as markets await OPEC+ decision

Oil prices traded lower on Tuesday, as markets anticipated this week’s OPEC+ meeting, where the cartel will decide its position on output for the month of July.

In a speech prior to Thursday’s meeting, the Secretary-General of OPEC Mohammad Barkindo, today stated that the Delta variant could play a part in the cartel’s decision.

Barkindo stated that, “The current ‘wild card’ factor is the ‘Delta Variant’ of the pandemic that is resulting in rising cases and renewed restrictions in many regions”.

Many still expect the demand from the United States, China as well as the UK and Europe to remain steady enough to meet the cartel’s targeted output of 6 million barrels per day by the end of the year.

WTI crude fell to an intraday low of $72.07 on the news, before climbing shortly after.

Quote of the day – “Losses are necessary, as long as they are associated with a technique to help you learn from them”

– David Sikhosana

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

Tesla's rally Gives SP 500 a boost on tuesday

NASDAQ Rallies, FTSE 100 Falls & Tesla Shares Rise Amidst a Recall

NASDAQ rallies as FAANG companies surge

The NASDAQ rallied to an all-time high to start the trading week, as the tech centric index benefited from a rise in FAANG stocks.

Gains from Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google pushed the NASDAQ to yet more intraday highs, as investors continue to move back into stocks.

Markets had consolidated for most of the month, prior to the recent Federal Reserve FOMC meeting which triggered a bullish reaction from investors.

The focus will now be on this Friday’s Non-farm payrolls report to see if the U.S. Labor Market will continue its strong recovery.

Depending on the result, many believe we could see further highs across all major indices in the United States.

As of writing both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 were trading higher.

FTSE 100 falls despite Boris COVID restrictions pledge

London’s FTSE 100 fell in today’s trading session, despite Prime Minister Boris Johnson pledging that remaining lockdown restrictions will be lifted by July 19th.

The PM, who last week delayed the so-called, “Freedom Day” re-opening, today gave the country an update on when he believes these measures will be fully eased.

Johnson today announced that, “With every day that goes by it’s clearer to me and all our scientific advisers that we’re very likely to be in a position on July 19 to say that really is the terminus and we can go back to life as it was before COVID as far as possible“.

This news comes as Health Secretary Matt Hancock, was forced to resign, after it emerged that he broke lockdown restrictions earlier this year.

Despite the July 19th date being penciled in, the FTSE 100 closed 0.88% lower today.

Tesla shares rise despite China vehicle recall

Tesla shares were trading higher on Monday, despite news that the company was set to recall some of its vehicles from China.

It was announced by China’s vehicle safety authority that Tesla would be recalling over 285,000 cars with immediate effect.

Reports suggest that these would be the Model 3 and Model Y cars, as they have been found to have some autopilot malfunctions, leading to Tesla moving to investigate these safety concerns further.

Cars which have already been sold will not have to re-service their vehicles, as it is expected that the malfunctions will be fixed with the use of software updates.

As of writing, $TSLA was trading 2.22% higher.

Quote of the day – “I believe in analysis and not forecasting.”

– Nicolas Darvas

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

SP 500 looking to reach a new high as jobless claims lower

Consumer Spending Stalls But S&P 500 rises, Record High for Nike Shares

S&P 500 rises despite consumer spending stalling

The S&P 500 recorded yet another all-time high in today’s session, despite data showing that U.S. consumer spending had stalled last month.

Figures released today showed that consumer spending remained unchanged from April to May, with April’s number being revised up to an increase of 0.9%.

The services sector was one of the main gainers, with spending rising by 0.7%, which was led by the hospitality and accommodation sectors, as well as travel and utilities sectors.

In addition to spending, the University of Michigan inflation survey showed that consumers believed that the current rise in inflation was temporary and would ease by next year.

Indices in the U.S. continued a bullish week, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.28% as of writing, to set a new high.

Nike shares surge to record high

Nike shares rose to an all-time high on Friday, as the company reported its latest fiscal earnings.

The sportswear giant reported that for the quarter which ended May 31st, total revenue nearly doubled to $12.34 billion, after coming in at $6.31 billion a year earlier.

Friday’s figures handsomely beat Wall Street expectations by over $1 billion, resulting in the company’s shares trading up by as much as 14%.

Nike also projected that it expects sales revenue to top $50 billion in 2022, believing that the first half of next year will provide most of the growth as we fully move into a post-pandemic world.

John Donahoe, Nike’s CEO stated that “Fuelled by our momentum, we continue to invest in innovation and our digital leadership to set the foundation for Nike’s long-term growth”.

He added that “It’s important to note as we normalize our post-pandemic business and continue to reshape the marketplace, we do not expect quarter-by-quarter growth to be linear”.

FTSE 100 climbs as UK set to lift travel restrictions

The FTSE 100 rose for a second consecutive trading session, as it was announced that the UK government was preparing to lift travel restrictions.

It was reported that from next month, the UK plans to allow fully vaccinated Britons to travel without restrictions.

This comes as the United Kingdom has now vaccinated more than 40 million people, which has eased fears of the rapidly spreading Delta variant of the COVID-19 vaccine.

Grant Schapps, the British Travel Minister today stated that, “Thanks to our successful vaccination program, our intention is that later in the summer UK residents who are fully vaccinated will not have to isolate themselves when traveling from amber list countries“.

London’s FTSE 100 closed 0.37% higher on the news.

Quote of the day – “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.”

– Phillip Fisher

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

SP 500 looking to reach a new high as jobless claims lower

S&P 500 rises despite consumer spending stalling

The S&P 500 recorded yet another all-time high in today’s session, despite data showing that U.S. consumer spending had stalled last month.

Figures released today showed that consumer spending remained unchanged from April to May, with April’s number being revised up to an increase of 0.9%.

The services sector was one of the main gainers, with spending rising by 0.7%, which was led by the hospitality and accommodation sectors, as well as travel and utilities sectors.

In addition to spending, the University of Michigan inflation survey showed that consumers believed that the current rise in inflation was temporary and would ease by next year.

Indices in the U.S. continued a bullish week, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.28% as of writing, to set a new high.

Nike shares surge to record high

Nike shares rose to an all-time high on Friday, as the company reported its latest fiscal earnings.

The sportswear giant reported that for the quarter which ended May 31st, total revenue nearly doubled to $12.34 billion, after coming in at $6.31 billion a year earlier.

Friday’s figures handsomely beat Wall Street expectations by over $1 billion, resulting in the company’s shares trading up by as much as 14%.

Nike also projected that it expects sales revenue to top $50 billion in 2022, believing that the first half of next year will provide most of the growth as we fully move into a post-pandemic world.

John Donahoe, Nike’s CEO stated that “Fuelled by our momentum, we continue to invest in innovation and our digital leadership to set the foundation for Nike’s long-term growth”.

He added that, “It’s important to note as we normalize our post-pandemic business and continue to reshape the marketplace, we do not expect quarter-by-quarter growth to be linear”.

FTSE 100 climbs as UK set to lift travel restrictions

The FTSE 100 rose for a second consecutive trading session, as it was announced that the UK government was preparing to lift travel restrictions.

It was reported that from next month, the UK plans to allow fully vaccinated Britons to travel without restrictions.

This comes as the United Kingdom has now vaccinated more than 40 million people, which has eased fears of the rapidly spreading Delta variant of the COVID-19 vaccine.

Grant Schapps, the British Travel Minister today stated that, “Thanks to our successful vaccination programme, our intention is that later in the summer UK residents who are fully vaccinated will not have to isolate themselves when travelling from amber list countries”.

London’s FTSE 100 closed 0.37% higher on the news.

Quote of the day – “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.”

Phillip Fisher

U.S Factory data sends the S&P 500 close to a record high

The S&P 500 reacts to U.S Factory Data, Business Activity in the EU rises to a 15-year High & Oil Prices Continue to rise

S&P 500 inches to record high on U.S. factory data

The S&P 500 edged closer to an all-time high on Wednesday, as economic data released showed that U.S. factory activity climbed to a new record in June.

Data released by IHS Markit via its flash manufacturing PMI survey showed that it rose to a reading of 62.6 in June.

Wednesday’s reading is the highest level the index has hit since the expansion of the survey in October 2009.

Today’s number followed a final reading of 62.1 in May and comes as inflation has impacted the cost of goods.

In a statement from IHS they alluded to this, stating that, “firms raised their selling prices at a quicker rate in an effort to pass on these higher costs.”

The NASDAQ hit a new high, with the S&P 500 also nearing a record.

EU business activity rises to 15-year high

It was reported today that business growth in the Euro zone rose at its fastest pace in the last 15-years as lockdown restrictions eased.

The report came as IHS Markit also released its European based survey, showing that its Purchasing Managers’ Index climbed to 59.2 this month.

This was an increase from May’s reading of 57.1, and became the highest reading since June 2006, beating expectations of a rise of 58.8.

There was a similar rise in the United Kingdom, which saw its PMI to 61.7, which was slightly lower than last month’s record reading.

Markets now wait to see what the Bank of England will do tomorrow when it announces its last monetary policy decisions.

Oil prices hit 2-year high

Crude oil prices continued to rebound on Wednesday, a week after dropping as a result of the Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting.

Prices climbed to a 2-year high in today’s session after trading at an intraday low of $69.71 7-day ago.

This comes as it was reported by the Energy Information Administration that crude inventories in the U.S. dropped by 7.6 million barrels last week.

WTI Crude hit a day’s high of $74.37, which was its highest level since October 2018, where prices traded above $76.

Many believe that prices could attempt to recapture those highs in upcoming days.

Quote of the day – “Short-term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established.”

– George Soros

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

The NASDAQ vuilding, nasdaq and S&P 500 reached record highs as GDP data came in

NASDAQ Reaches a New High, GameStop and the Meme Stock Rally & FTSE 100 Rises Despite COVID-19 Surge

NASDAQ records new high as Powell testifies

The NASDAQ recorded a new all-time high in today’s trading session as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was set to testify before congress.

Powell’s testimony comes a week after the Federal Reserve opted to keep its hawkish approach by keeping rates unchanged.

Congress will likely press Powell on the Fed’s stance on the current rise in inflation and look to get further guidance on when the bank could look to alter its policy.

In anticipation of the testimony, all three major U.S. indices traded higher, whilst Gold prices stalled.

The U.S. Dollar also weakened against the British Pound, hitting an intraday high of 1.3942          .

GameStop leads meme stock rally

GameStop, the original meme stock rallied on Tuesday as it was announced that the company had raised over $1 billion.

The company which was one of the major benefactors of the reddit “WallStreetBets” thread, today announced that it sold 5 million shares.

As a result of the sale, the company was able to raise $1.13 billion in capital in order to accelerate growth.

Today’s news saw shares in the retailer rise by as much as 12% earlier in today’s session, before retreating thereafter.

As of writing, $GME was up 5.6%, whilst fellow “meme stock” $AMC was trading up 2.90%.

FTSE 100 rises despite surge in COVID-19 cases

London’s FTSE 100 closed higher on Tuesday, despite the latest figures showing that COVID-19 cases were once again on the rise.

It was reported that there were 11,625 new COVID-19 infections, in addition to 27 deaths, compared to 10,633 cases and 5 deaths reported a day earlier.

The news comes 24-hours after the United Kingdom was expected to fully ease lockdown restrictions, however this has now been officially postponed to July 19th.

New variants of the virus are said to be the reason for the recent rise in cases, and as a result the government has moved to invite all adults over 18 to take their first COVID jab.

The FTSE 100 closed 0.39% higher on Tuesday.

Quote of the day – “A lot of people get so enmeshed in the markets that they lose their perspective. Working longer does not necessarily equate with working smarter. In fact, sometimes it is the other way around.”

– Martin Schwartz

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

Chinese crackdown on cryptocurrency leads to a massive Bitcoin sell off sending BTC down 10%

Chinese crackdown on Crypto, U.S Indices Rebound & Supermarket Chain Morrisons Sends FTSE 100 Higher

U.S. indices rebound on Monday

Indices in the United States rebounded to start the week, after last Wednesday’s Fed meeting led to several days of sell offs.

The decision by the Federal Reserve to keep rates unchanged. Whilst continuing with its QE program saw markets fall for 3 out of 4 sessions.

However, this run ended today as markets gained. as a result of more comments from Fed official James Bullard who suggested that an end of tapering could give the Bank more optionality.

Bullard stated that, “Creating optionality for the committee will be really useful and that will be part of the taper debate as we think about how much signalling we are doing about future rate policy”.

The debate on when the Fed rages on. Some members of the Central Bank believe this could be done by late next year.

All major U.S. indices were up as of writing. 

Chinese crackdown leads to Bitcoin selloff

Bitcoin prices were down by as much as 10% in today’s trading session. It was reported that the Chinese government continued its cryptocurrency crackdown.

Video emerged showing some local governments in provinces with a major crypto mining operations, raiding and shutting down the operations.

This comes after an energy commission bureau in the Sichuan province ordered 26 of the largest local mines to cease operating. Whilst some investigations were conducted.

BTCUSD hit an intraday low of $31,866, which took prices back towards a 1-week low.

Many were hoping that last week’s rally could end a recent spell of consolidation. However, some now believe further lows could be ahead.

Morrisons gains send FTSE 100 higher

London’s FTSE 100 rallied back above the 7,000 level on Monday, led by huge gains from supermarket chain Morrisons.

Shares in Morrisons rose on the news that the chain had rejected a proposed £5.52 billion takeover bid from a private equity firm.

The bid came from firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice, who many believe could come back with an increased offer for Morrisons.

Upon rejecting the offer, shares in Morrisons climbed by as much as 34% in today’s session, before settling shortly after.

The FTSE 100 closed 0.62% higher, with Morrison’s closing up by 26%.

Quote of the day – “What’s the difference between a pro and an amateur? Professionals look for what’s wrong with a setup. Amateurs only look for what’s right.”

– Mark Harila

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

good news for the greenback as the U.S dollar strengthens

A Stronger Dollar, UK Retail Sales Slip & Tesco Shares Drop

Dollar gains on Bullard’s Fed comments

The U.S. Dollar rose to its highest level since early May against the British Pound as James Bullard of the Federal Reserve said he anticipated a 2022 rate hike.

Earlier in the week, the FOMC meeting revealed that 13 of the 18 participants believed that the committee should begin raising rates from their current levels by the end of 2023.

However today, Bullard stated that, “I put us starting in (late) 2022. But you do have to have the idea that these are related to what the forecast is. So, my forecast said 3% inflation in 2021 — core PCE inflation — and 2.5% core PCE inflation in 2022”.

Inflation has been rising at a faster pace than expected, with fuel prices one of the key contributors to the increase.

As a result of today’s comments GBPUSD fell to an intraday low of 1.3795, which is the lowest level since May 3rd.

FTSE 100 falls as UK retail sales slip

Data released from the United Kingdom on Friday showed that retail sales had fallen by more than expected last month.

The figures released by the Office of National Statistics showed that retail sales dropped by 1.4% from April and May, with many expecting a rise of 1.6% for May.

Some believe that the decline in sales comes as a result of the lockdown restrictions in the UK being eased, with many Brits returning to work, and spending more time socializing.

In a statement accompanying the data release, the ONS stated that, “Evidence suggests the easing of hospitality restrictions had an impact on sales as people returned to eating and drinking at locations such as restaurants and bars”.

London’s FTSE 100 dropped by 1.9% on the news.

Tesco Shares drop on weaker sales growth

One of the biggest companies impacted by the fall in retail sales was the UK’s biggest supermarket chain, Tesco.

The company today revealed that in the first quarter of the year sales rose 0.5% which was down from an 8.8% growth recorded in Q4 of 2020.

In response to the slowing of sales growth figures, the company’s CEO Ken Murphy stated that, “We continued to benefit from more people eating at home, although this started to slow down through the quarter as hospitality reopened”.

Despite the positive comments from Murphy, shares in Tesco fell by close to 5% in today’s trading session.

Quote of the day – “Don’t blindly follow someone, follow [the] market and try to hear what it is telling you.”

– Jaymin Shah

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

Joe Biden and Vladimir putin peet for the first time

Biden and Putin’s Meeting in Geneva, Inflation in the UK Surpasses Target & Chinese Economic Data Disappoints

Markets jittery as Biden and Putin begin Geneva Summit

Markets traded with uncertainty on Wednesday, as U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian leader Vladimir Putin met for the first time in Geneva, Switzerland.

The meeting follows on from this past weekend’s G-7 summit, where Biden made his debut on the international stage as the President of the world’s largest economy.

Tensions were heightened over the past few days as NATO said that its relationship with Russia was at its worst since the cold war.

It was also stated by the alliance that, “Until Russia demonstrates compliance with international law and its international obligations and responsibilities, there can be no return to ‘business as usual”.

Wednesday’s meeting provides an opportunity for Putin’s Russia to ease tensions with the rest of the world, and potentially build a base for future cooperation.

British inflation surpasses BOE target

In the United Kingdom, it was reported that the country’s inflation had surpassed the Bank of England’s target rate.

The latest inflation report from the UK showed that inflation came in at 2.1%, going above the Bank’s 2% target for the first time in almost two years.

Many in the markets had expected May’s number to come in at 1.8% however rising fuel prices, which were close to 18% higher than the year before, contributed to the overall spike.

Crude oil prices have been trading at multi-year highs in recent weeks, as the rise in demand for energies continues to outweigh the short-term supply.

London’s FTSE 100 closed 0.17% on the news, with markets now waiting to see what action the BoE could take to combat inflation.

Chinese economic data disappoints 

Data released from China on Wednesday showed that both Retail Sales figures, as well as Factory output were lower than expected.

The figures which were for the month of May, highlighted that industrial output was 8.8% slipping from a figure of 9.8% in April.

Whilst it was also reported that retail sales came in at 12.4%year on year, versus the 17.7% increase in April.

China, along with the United States, have led the global economic recovery in the last few months. So the slow-down could cause some concerns to overall global growth in 2021.

Hao Zhou, who is a senior economist at Commerzbank in China stated that, “The extent of the slowdown in the second half is key. So far, it’s still normal and there’s still room for the fiscal policy to play a part later in the year”.

Many believe that a recent rise in commodity prices could be one of the reasons for the decline.

Quote of the day – “Buy things that are going up. Sell things that are going down. And when they stop, get out!”

– Rob Smith

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

U.S retail numbers miss expectations

U.S Retail Sales Drop Below Expectations, A New Record for British Employment & Oil Prices continue to Rally

U.S. retail sales miss expectations

In the United States it was reported that Retail Sales declined more than expected last month, as spending began to ease post pandemic.

FTSE 100 is trading higher after positive retail sales results

Figures released today showed that sales dropped by 1.3% in the month of May, after estimates forecasted a drop of 0.8%.

Today’s data also showed a revision for April’s final figure, with sales now increasing 0.9% instead of remaining unchanged from March as previously reported.

The drop in Sales moved the S&P 500 away from its record high, established earlier in today’s session, and now markets wait to see how the Fed reacts to recent economic conditions in tomorrow’s meeting.

As of writing, the Dow Jones was also down, trading 0.25% lower, with the S&P 500 off 0.16% and a 0.76% drop in the NASDAQ.

British employment reaches new record

Whilst data from the U.S. disappointed on Tuesday, figures from Britain were bullish, as the nation saw its highest monthly rise in employment since records began.

Data from the Office of National Statistics showed that companies in the UK increased their total number of employees by 197,000 last month.

This is the biggest monthly increase of Employment change since the inception of these statistics in July 2014 and takes the total number of employed Brits to 28.5 million.

In response to the data, British Finance Minister Rishi Sunak stated that, “The latest forecasts for unemployment are around half of what was previously feared and the number of employees on payroll is at its highest level since April last year“.

London’s FTSE 100 closed 0.36% higher in today’s session.

Oil Prices rally to multi-year highs

The rally that simply won’t stop, oil prices once again rose on Tuesday, hitting their highest level in almost 3-years as a result.

Many believe the recent rise in oil prices comes as a result of demand outweighing the short-term supply, whilst crude inventories also decline.

WTI crude rose to an intraday high of $72.26 earlier today, exactly a year after prices of the energy were below $35 per barrel.

Some believe that prices may be heading to $75 per barrel, which is the next key resistance level, and could begin to consolidate from that point.

With inflation a key topic at tomorrow’s Federal Reserve meeting, there could be some price uncertainty, depending on the Fed’s economic outlook.

Quote of the day – “There is a huge difference between a good trade and good trading.”

– Steve Burns

Eliman Dambell

Senior Market Analyst
edambell@tvmarkets.com

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